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UNIT 05
Business Statistics And Research Methods
PART 03
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MCQ: The approach which assumes that various outcomes of an event are equally likely
a. Relative frequency theory of Probability
b. Classical probability
c. Subjective probability
d. None of the above
Theory of Probability
- It was bought into the shape of theory by Cardon
- Literally probability means the ‘Chance of happening’
- The probability of an event lies between 0 and 1
- If the happening of a n event is certain the probability is said to be unity (=1)
- If the happening of a n event is impossible, the probability is said to be zero
- Value of probability rages from zero to one and always a non- negative
Classical Probability – a priori probability
Relative frequency theory of Probability
- Statistical/empirical/posteriori probability
- Probability is derived from past records or
- On the basis of relative frequency of success in the past
Subjective probability
- Personalitic theory of probability
- Probability is calculated on the basis of personal experience or opinion
Types of Probability distributions
Binomial Distribution
- Derived by James Bernoulli
- The random experiment is performed repeatedly a fixed number of times (n is finite and fixed)
- It is a discrete probability distribution
- Binomial distribution has two parameters mean and standard deviation
- If two independent random variables follow binomial distribution, their sum also follows binomial distribution
Poisson Distribution
- Simon D. Poisson (1937)
- The number of trials is indefinitely large
- It is a discrete distribution
- It is applied in situations where the probability of success of an event is very small and chance of failure is very high
Normal Distribution
- Also known as Gaussian distribution
- Continuous frequency distribution
- It is a bell shaped curve
- Mean = median = mode
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